Turn the politics of Maharashtra, now who is the younger brother and who is the elder brother? - AB TAK NEWS


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Saturday, 26 October 2019

Turn the politics of Maharashtra, now who is the younger brother and who is the elder brother?

Turn the politics of Maharashtra, now who is the younger brother and who is the elder brother?

On the one hand, in Haryana, the BJP has secured the key to form a government in alliance with the JJP and on the other hand it is facing some difficulties in securing the key to power in Maharashtra. There is a tug of war between the BJP and the Shiv Sena alliance to form a coalition government.

The results of the assembly elections have been nearly 60 hours, but so far there has been no official statement from the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance about the formation of the government there.

The events of the last two days also do not seem to clarify the picture there.

In fact, the 2019 assembly election results not only dented the BJP's clear majority, but in contrast, their seats were reduced compared to 2014.

In Maharashtra with 288 assembly seats, the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance got a total of 161 seats. BJP has got 105 seats and Shiv Sena 56 seats. The coalition has got a majority but they have lost 24 seats in total.

If you look at the loss of seats in these two parties separately, then the BJP's share in the loss of these 24 seats is 17 seats i.e. 25.75 percent. On the other hand, Shiv Sena has also lost 7 seats but it has lost 16.4 percent less than BJP.

On the other hand, the number of MLAs of Congress-NCP alliance reached 99 and they have gained 16 seats. Here, with 54 seats, Sharad Pawar's Nationalist Congress Party or NCP has become the third largest party in the state.

Who is small, who is big?

After the results, the situation now is that in the new assembly, along with Shiv Sena, the morale of NCP has also increased as the opposition, which was also seen in the last two days of events.

First of all, an editorial targeting the BJP was written in the Shiv Sena mouthpiece Saamana on the very next day of the results on October 24. In which it was written that "Now the power will not run."

Sharad Pawar's NCP was praised in it. It was written that "such an atmosphere was created that nothing will be left in Sharad Pawar, but the biggest jump was made by the Nationalist Party and their figure crossed 50. BJP came from 122 to 102".

Then Saamna editor Sanjay Raut shared a cartoon on his Twitter handle in which a tiger (Shiv Sena party symbol) has a lotus flower (BJP's party symbol) in his hand and a watch running through a locket around his neck (NCP's) Election symbol) is hanging

This cartoon also created doubts about the equations of forming a government whether the Shiv Sena wants to send a message to the BJP that it has the support of the NCP and that being in the hands of Kamal does not mean that the new equations have changed. The key to power is in his (Shiv Sena's) hands.

Two and a half year formula

Then on the next day, Saturday, the BJP was reminded of the formula of 50-50 by the Shiv Sena.

On Saturday, Maharashtra's newly elected MLA Pratap Sarnaik walked out of Uddhav Thackeray's residence and told reporters that the 50-50 formula was decided between the Shiv Sena and the BJP before the Lok Sabha elections, only after written assurances that the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance Government will form

He said, "The promise that Chief Minister Fadnavis gave before the elections gave 50-50 formula to both parties but for some reason 144-144 seats could not be divided. Still this victory is on the issue of Hindutva. So The formula of 50-50 and the Chief Minister's post for two and a half years and the rest of the accounts, according to what has been decided, should be given in written form to Uddhav Thackeray. Will be formed. However, the new government will not be formed until then. "

Senior journalist Samar Khadas says that the Shiv Sena will definitely come to power, it cannot stay outside.Will BJP accept Shiv Sena's demand?

But now the scenario is different from last time. Like BJP, the number of Shiv Sena MLAs has also decreased. Despite this, his seats have not been reduced as much as the BJP has been in a position to do pressure politics.

On this, Samar Khadas says, "The kind of politics that Shiv Sena has been suppressed from 2014 to 2019 cannot happen now because BJP cannot form government on its own. The numbers that have come, there is no government even for independents. It is a political compulsion for the BJP. "

He says, "In such a situation Shiv Sena can take great advantage of this. They can ask for the post of Chief Minister. It is not known how much BJP believes in it. But they will claim powerful portfolios like Home, Urban Development, Revenue and PWD. In the previous government, he got only some politically important portfolios like transport, pollution control. This time it will not happen. Powerful portfolio.

Khadas says that difficulties have increased for the BJP due to lack of results as expected.

He says, "If the BJP does not agree to the post of Chief Minister, the Shiv Sena will ask for the Home Ministry. There will definitely be talks on it. Overall this time BJP's difficulties have increased."

Despite being in power, the opposition behaved

While Fadnavis was the Chief Minister, the Shiv Sena was definitely in the government, but on many matters, it behaved like the opposition.

Samar Khadas says, "Onion prices are low or the trees were cut in the area of ​​Aarey and most importantly the Shiv Sena has commented very severely on the farmers' suicides. They have had many fights over many issues. Sharad Pawar has been given the highest importance in the Sena mouthpiece Saamana after the elections. "

Kamble says that there are many difficulties ahead of Fadnavis, he was very strong in his first innings as Chief Minister, but in his second innings, he will not be that much.

Says Kamble, "Showing his strength in the BJP, Fadnavis had reduced the Shiv Sena's seats before the seat-sharing before the elections. The two parties have been contesting the elections since 1990. But both of them never got so few seats. This equation has now changed due to the election results. "

What are the challenges ahead?

During the last five years of his tenure, Fadnavis faced fierce protests over Maratha reservation. To satisfy the Marathas, they gave them reservation but now they will have the challenge to give them jobs.

Says Kamble, "Farmers will also face a challenge. Debt waiver schemes have been run on a large scale, but there are reports in the media that many farmers have not benefited."

"Onion growers also have many complaints about the government. Apart from this there will be the issue of reservation for the Dhangar community. Before the 2014 elections, Fadnavis had promised it to the Dhangaris but during five years nothing concrete decision was made on it. It will be a big challenge

Opposition will face biggest challenge?

During the assembly election campaign, when news came about the action on Sharad Pawar from the Enforcement Directorate, the discussion revolved around Sharad Pawar throughout the election.

Sharad Pawar has said that he will do politics of struggle for five years. He said that the association with youth had decreased in the last few years due to this election.

He said that he will continue to struggle with the different questions related to the issues of rural and urban youth.

Samar Khadas says, "If this happens and there is a clear conflict, then I don't think the weak image of the opposition between 2014 and 2019 will be ahead of 2019."

As it is said that for a healthy democracy it is necessary to have a strong opposition in front of a strong government. So there are some similar possibilities in Maharashtra that this time the opposition will not be just for names.

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